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    Rolex Day-Date 18238 — Dealer Market Overview

    56WARM

    Market overview for the Rolex Day-Date 18238. 12 verified auctions, 1.57/mo velocity, +6.6% trend.

    Composite Score BreakdownUpdated Oct 22
    Price Trend(30%)
    -2.0%31
    Buyer Demand(25%)
    1 WTB leads83
    Sales Velocity(20%)
    1.4/mo42
    Market Sentiment(15%)
    67/1000
    Supply Level(10%)
    N/A0
    16 verified auctionsAvg $17,538

    Reference context

    Reference
    Rolex Day Date 18238
    Last updated
    9/20/2026
    Source basis
    Published Mazalgo reference analysis, auction context, listing context, and available demand signals.
    Limitations
    Sparse references and fast-moving listings should be verified against current comps before a buy or sell decision.

    Rolex Day-Date 18238 — Market Overview

    Auction Performance

    The 18238 averaged $17,325 across 12 verified sales over the tracking period, with a median of $17,800 indicating a healthy distribution. The wide range ($9,200–$22,000) reflects condition and dial variation sensitivity. Positive momentum: +6.6% trend suggests steady appreciation in secondary market pricing.

    Demand Signal

    Single WTB lead in the last 30 days indicates moderate, not aggressive, buyer demand. This suggests the reference is not a hot-button model but maintains consistent interest among serious collectors seeking yellow gold Day-Dates.

    Dealer's Take

    The 18238 is a solid mid-tier stocking candidate for dealers with yellow gold inventory depth. At 1.57 auctions/month, velocity is acceptable but not exceptional—expect 4–6 week holding periods. The +6.6% trend and $17,325 average support modest margin potential; buy targets around $13,860–$14,660 (80% of auction avg/B3AF floor) allow for 15–20% dealer markup to retail. Primary risk: condition variance drives wide price dispersion; inspect dial and case carefully before acquisition. The low WTB signal suggests this is not a panic-buy reference—stock selectively and pair with higher-velocity Day-Date variants (36mm, white dial) for portfolio balance.

    Key Numbers

    | Metric | Value | |--------|-------| | Auction Avg | $17,325 | | B3AF Floor | ~$13,860 | | Velocity | 1.57/mo | | Trend | +6.6% | | WTB Demand | 1 lead (30d) |

    Price History

    Price history is being established. Check back soon for trend data.